Azimio la Umoja – One Kenya Alliance is the most popular political outfit in Kenya, beating Kenya Kwanza Coalition by far.
According to a TIFA survey conducted in April, Azimio enjoys 36 percent support from Kenyan voters, while its rival, Kenya Kwanza has 33 percent. Slightly over 30 per cent of voters are, however, undecided on the political outfit to support.
“But this leaves nearly the same (one-third) proportion who identify with neither, at least at this point. Whether this is because most Kenyans are yet to know enough about these coalitions/alliances, or are more ‘comfortable’ with individual political parties, is unclear. What is clear, however, is that these groupings are the product of elite bargaining rather than ‘bottom-up’ pressures or preferences from the general public,” TIFA said.
While nearly all ODM supporters also support the Azimio coalition (94 per cent), only about three-quarters of UDA supporters support Kenya Kwanza (79 per cent).
Apart from Central Rift where Kenya Kwanza dominates and in Nyanza where Azimio does likewise, support for the two alliance coalitions is evenly split across the country.
Still, even in these ‘backyards’ of the two main presidential contenders, fewer than two-thirds of their residents support Azimio (62 per cent) and Kenya Kwanza (61 per cent).
Hardly any Kenyans now believe that President Uhuru would like his deputy to succeed him following the August election (only four per cent), though slightly more of his supporters cling to this belief as compared to Raila’s (seven per cent versus one per cent).
Nearly one-fifth remain uncertain about this (19 per cent), despite the president’s open declaration of support for the former Prime Minister on several occasions.